Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000095 0.000105 0.000116 0.000129 0.000143 0.000158 0.000175
2026-01-18 0.000080 0.000094 0.000110 0.000129 0.000151 0.000177 0.000209
2026-01-25 0.000069 0.000085 0.000104 0.000128 0.000158 0.000195 0.000242
2026-02-01 0.000061 0.000078 0.000100 0.000129 0.000166 0.000213 0.000278
2026-02-08 0.000054 0.000072 0.000095 0.000127 0.000171 0.000228 0.000310
2026-02-15 0.000048 0.000067 0.000091 0.000126 0.000176 0.000244 0.000345
2026-02-22 0.000044 0.000063 0.000088 0.000126 0.000182 0.000261 0.000383
2026-03-01 0.000040 0.000058 0.000085 0.000125 0.000186 0.000275 0.000417
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000056 0.000083 0.000126 0.000194 0.000295 0.000461
2026-03-15 0.000034 0.000053 0.000081 0.000127 0.000199 0.000312 0.000503
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000050 0.000079 0.000126 0.000203 0.000327 0.000542
2026-03-29 0.000030 0.000049 0.000078 0.000128 0.000212 0.000349 0.000596
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000218 0.000369 0.000646
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000045 0.000075 0.000128 0.000223 0.000386 0.000695
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000073 0.000127 0.000227 0.000402 0.000744
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000127 0.000232 0.000421 0.000799
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000039 0.000069 0.000126 0.000234 0.000435 0.000844
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000037 0.000067 0.000125 0.000238 0.000451 0.000897
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000036 0.000066 0.000125 0.000243 0.000471 0.000959
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000124 0.000245 0.000484 0.001009
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000033 0.000063 0.000125 0.000253 0.000510 0.001087
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000032 0.000062 0.000125 0.000258 0.000531 0.001157
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000061 0.000125 0.000261 0.000548 0.001218